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US strikes Iran by...?
US strikes Iran by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

polymarket$53,384,951.972 volume$531,842.801 liquidity
Price History
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All Outcomes
June 30
60¢
March 31
51¢
January 31
35¢
January 23
23¢
January 18
16¢
January 17
10¢
January 16
5¢
January 15
0¢
December 31
0¢
January 12
0¢
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1¢ spread between platforms
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Details
End Date6/30/2026
Liquidity$531,842.801
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