Top Movers (24h)
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
89¢→50¢
-39%
2026 NBA Champion
88¢→50¢
-38%
Who will the next Pope be?
45¢→7¢
-38%
Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?
64¢→27¢
-37%
Will Italy vote to leave the EU before 2030?
43¢→6¢
-37%
Arbitrage Opportunities
Fed Rate Cut March 2026
Polymarket: 34¢vsKalshi: 38¢
4¢ (4.2%)
Bitcoin > $150K by June
Polymarket: 22¢vsKalshi: 25¢
3¢ (3.1%)
Recession in 2026
Kalshi: 28¢vsPolymarket: 31¢
3¢ (2.8%)
* Kalshi integration coming soon. Spreads are illustrative.
Top Traders This Week
Markets by Volume
Market
Price
Volume
Platform
Super Bowl Champion 2026
PM
24%Seattle
$675.0M
PM
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PM
34%Gavin Newsom
$478.9M
PM
Fed decision in January?
PM
95%No change
$364.2M
PM
Presidential Election Winner 2028
PM
27%JD Vance
$188.9M
PM
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
PM
43%Kevin Warsh
$188.9M
PM
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
PM
52%J.D. Vance
$186.1M
PM
UEFA Champions League Winner
PM
18%Arsenal
$176.4M
PM
English Premier League Winner
PM
76%Arsenal
$168.9M
PM
2026 NBA Champion
PM
40%Oklahoma City Thunder
$162.1M
PM
Portugal Presidential Election
PM
76%António José Seguro (IND)
$109.0M
PM
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
PM
16%Spain
$66.7M
PM
La Liga Winner
PM
68%Barcelona
$57.2M
PM
US strikes Iran by...?
PM
60%June 30
$53.2M
PM
What price will Bitcoin hit in January?
PM
100%↑ 90,000
$33.9M
PM
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
PM
10%
$31.1M
PM
Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?
PM
92%VVD + CDA + D66
$26.2M
PM
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
PM
8%December 31
$21.3M
PM
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
PM
25%December 31, 2026
$19.3M
PM
Which company has the best AI model end of January?
PM
94%Google
$14.3M
PM
What will happen before GTA VI?
PM
88%Drake releases Iceman
$14.3M
PM