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Which company has the best AI model end of January?
Which company has the best AI model end of January?

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

polymarket$14,318,667.837 volume$843,496.613 liquidity
Price History
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All Outcomes
Company L
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Company K
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Company G
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Company B
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Company E
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Company J
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Other
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Company A
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Company D
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Company H
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Cross-Platform Prices
PolymarketTrade
YES
50¢
NO
50¢
Vol: $1.2M · Liq: $450K
KalshiTrade
YES
49¢
NO
49¢
Vol: $890K · Liq: $320K
Company F
0¢
Company I
0¢
Company M
0¢
Company C
0¢
Google
94¢
xAI
4¢
OpenAI
1¢
Anthropic
0¢
Baidu
0¢
DeepSeek
0¢
Alibaba
0¢
Moonshot
0¢
Meituan
0¢
Mistral
0¢
Z.ai
0¢
Spread Opportunity
1¢ spread between platforms
Top Predictors
C
@CryptoOracle
73% win rate
YES
$4,200
M
@MacroMike
65% win rate
YES
$2,800
F
@FedWatcher
71% win rate
NO
$1,500
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Details
End Date1/31/2026
Liquidity$843,496.613
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